【星展银行:特朗普2.0时代下澳元韧性或不如新加坡元】金十数据2月10日讯,星展集团的分析师Philip Wee表示,美国总统特朗普的关税政策可能会在2025年压低澳元兑新加坡元的汇率,与2018-2019年观察到的影响类似。这位资深外汇策略师在一份报告中表示,尽管美国对澳大利亚和新加坡都有贸易顺差,但这两个国家的货币也无法免受特朗普关税带来的全球经济增长风险的影响。他预计澳元兑新元将走弱至0.80-0.85的区间。他表示,作为一种以大宗商品为主导的自由浮动货币,如果特朗普的普遍关税对全球经济和金融市场产生负面影响,加剧避险情绪,澳元将更加脆弱。与此同时,新加坡元的波动性较小,Wee补充称:“在强劲基本面支撑的汇率政策推动下,新加坡元更具吸引力。”
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