智通财经APP获悉,2月11日,德林控股(01709)主席兼首席执行官陈宁迪在其最新专栏文章中写道,美国因经济政策调整可能在今年下半年进入加速降息通道,而中国则通过降准、政策支持等措施推动经济发展,全球宏观经济环境正为港股上涨提供有力支撑。展望恒指在春季行情中的表现,他指出,随着资金环境的改善和政策支持的持续释放,港股市场正逐步迎来“牛市第二波上涨”的早期阶段。
文章提到,从2024年底至今,港币拆借利率(HIBOR)持续走低,市场资金面显著充裕。恒指从去年底的低点19000点反弹至目前的21500点,涨幅达13%。与此同时,春节后资金明显流入港股,尤其是科技板块,显示出机构投资者情绪的回升。陈宁迪强调,HIBOR作为“量先行”指标,在过去多个季度的港股行情中,均提前预示了市场的反弹趋势。
文章还提到,近期中国科技创新的突破——DeepSeek(深度求索)的推出,再度引发的全球AI应用热潮,这不仅为中国互联网资产带来了新的增长可能,也为港股科技板块注入了更多想象空间。陈宁迪指出,科技、消费和金融板块的良性互动,以及港股市场低估值的特性,使其在全球资产配置中具备显著优势。
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