Denny's Corporation (NASDAQ:DENN) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 25% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been disappointing. Indeed, the share price is down 65% in the period. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.
The recent uptick of 11% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Denny's
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Looking back five years, both Denny's' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 28% per year. The share price decline of 19% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free interactive report on Denny's' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
Investors in Denny's had a tough year, with a total loss of 32%, against a market gain of about 22%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Denny's better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Denny's (including 2 which are significant) .
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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