《大行》瑞银:新能源上网电价全面市场化政策略正面 首选龙源电力(00916.HK)

阿斯达克财经
11 Feb

国家发改委和国家能源局早些时候宣布的电价政策仍存在不确定性,但瑞银对整体评估略为乐观,原因包括估计可再生能源独立发电厂的总盈利上行空间为1%至2%;初步解读显示政策方向支持行业稳定;以及尽管差价合约(CfD)电价水平存在一些不明确之处,但相信整体投资确定性和预期回报可以得到改善。
瑞银认为投资者整体上对该行业持负面看法,因为许多投资者预期电价会在加速转向市场化交易的过程中下降,这与本轮政策宣布基本一致。然而,该行认为引入CfD差价合约电价机制是一个正面的惊喜,有可能减低与零或负现货电价相关的风险。

该行所覆盖的中国可再生能源独立发电厂目前市净率接近历史低位,重申龙源电力(00916.HK) 是其行业首选,相信它可能是这一轮政策宣布的主要受惠者,而其他类型的独立发电厂(煤炭、核能)可能受到的影响有限。(ha/u)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-10 16:25。)

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