Odaily星球日报讯 Hartmann Capital 创始人 Felix Hartmann 于 X 发文表示:“我可能言之过早,但感觉我们已经接近市场底部: •资金费率已经持续一段时间为负。几周前,期货溢价转为负值; • AI 代币下跌 80-99%。优质山寨币回撤至长期趋势线,抹去了去年第四季度的超调(overshoot); •社交情绪完全崩溃,这通常是最好的信号。 稳定币不会消失,它们需要链上基础设施。AI 代理是不可避免的,它们需要非 KYC 金融轨道。 BTC 财富效应曾经推动山寨币,但 ETF 时代改变了这一点。Fink 预计 SOL ETF 很快就会出现,与 BTC/ETH 不同,没有灰度过剩。这将是资金纯流入。ETF 可能会成为本周期的 Coinbase/币安上币效应。 加密货币存在文化问题:提取过多,创造过少。但未来 4 年将为稳定币和人工智能带来真正的发展动力。当下的绝望情绪与去年第四季度的兴奋情绪一样不合理。” 他补充道,尽管加密货币市场可能继续“波动”,但这也可能是“尾声”,因为大多数解锁 VC 代币配置已经“在过去两个季度被抛售”。
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