DoorDash Surges After Strong Q4, Order Growth and MAUs Hit Record Highs

GuruFocus
13 Feb

DoorDash (DASH +4%) is experiencing a significant boost following its Q4 report. The food delivery giant reported a 24.8% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $2.87 billion, slightly surpassing expectations. Total orders rose 19% year-over-year to 685 million, and Q4 Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV) increased 21% year-over-year to $21.3 billion, exceeding prior guidance of $20.6-21.0 billion.

Key highlights include:

  • DoorDash focuses on adjusted EBITDA as a profitability metric. Adjusted EBITDA grew 56% year-over-year to $566 million, aligning with the higher end of its $525-575 million guidance. The adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of Marketplace GOV increased to 2.7% from 2.1% a year ago.
  • Order growth, which had been declining in recent quarters, saw a positive trend with a 19% year-over-year increase, surprising investors. The growth is attributed to signing new restaurant partners and expanding into new verticals like grocery and retail, which are growing faster than the restaurant segment.
  • Monthly active users (MAUs) reached a record high of over 42 million in December 2024, up from over 37 million in December 2023. DashPass and Wolt+ memberships are also increasing, with over 25% of MAUs ordering from new verticals, up from over 20% a year ago. Order frequency remains at an all-time high.
  • Despite some analyst disappointment with the Q1 guidance, DoorDash attributed this to an extra day in Q1 last year and foreign exchange headwinds.
  • Reflecting on 2024, DoorDash's business is significantly larger compared to 2019, with GOV over nine times larger, revenue twelve times larger, and $2.4 billion more in free cash flow, maintaining growth post-pandemic.

Investors are pleased with DoorDash's performance in 2024, despite macroeconomic challenges. Although the stock initially dropped, the focus shifted to impressive metrics like order growth and record-high MAUs and order frequency.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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