金吾财讯 | 开源证券发布研报指,公司2024年4季度实现收入22亿美金,环比增长1.7%,符合公司此前指引“量微降、价微涨”趋势,我们分析主要由于公司产品结构优化驱动。2024Q4实现毛利率22.6%,高于公司指引区间18%-20%,分析主要由于产品结构带来的ASP提升。
该行指,公司指引2025Q1收入环比增长6%-8%,淡季不淡、环比提升幅度略超我们预期,分析主要由于国补政策刺激下游终端销售量增加、客户补库存需求增加,以及部分客户为应对国际政策不稳定的风险提前拉货,有望驱动产能利用率提升。
该行续指,短期跟踪港股AI主线整体情绪,我们预计公司基本面将呈现稳中向上趋势,自身工艺平台组合多元化且竞争力增强、国产供应链地位提升趋势、有望对抗成熟制程同业降价竞争影响,维持“买入”评级。
该行预测,公司2025-2026年归母净利润预测8.7/10.7亿美金,新增2027年归母净利润预测12.7亿美金,对应同比增速分别为76.7%/23.3%/18.6%。当前股价46港币对应2025-2027年54.0/43.8/37.0倍PE,对应2025-2027年2.0/1.9/1.7倍PB。
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