智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，内银将发表2024年全年业绩报告，银行资本结构重整可能成为投资者关注焦点。大型国有银行可利用新资本维持2025年及2026年的股息派发，在2025年8.5%的贷款增长预测下仍可能有盈余资本。根据该行对内银今年展望，中国银行(03988)、农业银行(01288)及工商银行(01398)将会受惠于中央注资，对招商银行(03968)给予买入评级。
高盛指，注意到内银一个主要风险可能是低利率环境下的过度信贷增长，这将消除资本，导致更快出现潜在资金短缺。然而到目前为止，尽管1月的系统信贷增长超出预期，但由于银行对今年贷款增长的保守指引和更多政府债券的加入，认为无须过度忧虑。
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