金吾财讯 | 天风证券发研报指,TCL电子(01070)发布2024年业绩盈喜预告,实现经调整归母净利润13~17亿元,同比增长62%~112%,大概率超股权激励目标(65%增长)。该行表示,公司2024年TV全球出货量2900万台,yoy+14.8%,其中国内总出货量同比+5.8%,海外同比+17.6%,欧洲及新兴市场渠道持续渗透。受益于补贴政策以及公司对于前沿技术的开发,TCL产品结构高端化、大尺寸化趋势在国内国际市场均实现加速,公司2024年Mini LED在全球范围内出货量同比增长近2倍。该行续指,公司TV业务收入再创历史新高,创新业务维持高增态势,其中全品类营销及光伏业务持续快速提升规模及竞争力,进一步增厚了公司业绩。公司着力增强能力建设,在重点领域持续推进数字化转型,并通过严控费用、加快周转和材料降本等方式积极锻造效率经营,全面实现业务高质量发展。该行认为,TCL电子为全球彩电行业领先企业,持续修炼中高端+全球化运营能力带动TV业务份额稳步扩张,同时在主航道之外夯实光伏、全品类营销、互联网业务等增长动能。该行预计24-26年公司经调整归母净利润分别为15.2/18.9/22.6亿港元(前值13.6/16.6/20.1亿港元,结合本次业绩预告所发布的经调整归母净利润区间,上调全年24-26年利润预期),对应12.1x/9.7x/8.1x,维持“买入”评级。
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