【市场对不确定担忧仍存，关注明日会议纪要】金十期货特约光大期货点评：2月18日，COMEX黄金价格上涨1.48%至2954.40美元/盎司，沪金主连上涨1.02%至686.66元/克。1. 数据方面，美国2月纽约联储制造业指数 5.7，预期-1，前值-12.6。2. 降息方面，美联储戴利表示政策需要保持紧缩，直到我看到我们在通胀方面确实取得了持续进展。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，3月维持利率不变的概率为97.5%，降息25个基点的概率为2.5%，到5月维持当前利率不变的概率为86.1%，累计降息25个基点的概率为13.6%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.3%。3. 综合而言，无论是经济数据还是美联储降息进展，短期对贵金属都无法形成有效助力，交易者仍围绕着全球不确定加剧在博弈，美黄金正在试探近期高点的阻力情况。
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