Today we're going to take a look at the well-established O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. The company's trading levels have approached the yearly peak, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at O'Reilly Automotive’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for O'Reilly Automotive
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 19.42% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy O'Reilly Automotive today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $1104.30, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Furthermore, O'Reilly Automotive’s low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 23% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for O'Reilly Automotive. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
Are you a shareholder? ORLY’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ORLY, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with O'Reilly Automotive (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).
If you are no longer interested in O'Reilly Automotive, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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