金吾财讯 | 荷兰国际集团经济学家詹姆斯·史密斯在一份报告中表示，英国的整体物价通胀虽然在今年初有所反弹，且反弹力度超出预期，但从总体趋势来看仍在下降。这一反弹主要由一次性因素推动，例如公用事业价格和机票等服务业的上涨。如果排除这些暂时性影响，潜在的通胀实际上正在减速。这为英国央行今年可能实施四次降息提供了支持。尽管年初的通胀数据看似对渐进降息计划构成一定挑战，但核心趋势仍与降息预期一致。
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