When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 11x, you may consider China Coal Energy Company Limited (HKG:1898) as an attractive investment with its 6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, China Coal Energy's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for China Coal Energy
China Coal Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by 22% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.2% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China Coal Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of China Coal Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware China Coal Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Coal Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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