智通财经APP获悉，优然牧业(09858)再涨超6%，1月20日至今累计涨幅已近60%。截至发稿，涨6.06%，报2.45港元，成交额5034.22万港元。
消息面上，2月12日，明晟公司(MSCI)公布了2月份指数审议结果，MSCI全球小盘股指数于中国地区纳入优然牧业等7只股，本次更新调整将于2月28日收盘后生效。分析人士指出，纳入MSCI指数有望大幅提升优然牧业的股票流动性。
东方证券指出，我国生鲜乳价格下跌导致奶牛牧场亏损面扩大，24年以来牧场存栏逐步去化，预计24年减少30-40万头奶牛存栏。预计25Q2牧场将加速出清。该行指出，优然牧业为国内最大的原料奶供应商，公司建设牧场的战略布局已完成，未来投资规模有望大幅缩减，资本开支有望下降；公司经营性现金流稳健增长，我们认为公司现金流向上拐点或已出现。预计24年全年奶牛公允价值下降10亿左右；若25年奶价跌幅收窄，则公司奶牛公允价值跌幅将同步收窄，意味着公司利润拐点早于奶价拐点。
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