If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So on that note, Evolent Health (NYSE:EVH) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Evolent Health, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.015 = US$30m ÷ (US$2.5b - US$524m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Evolent Health has an ROCE of 1.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Healthcare Services industry average of 6.8%.
See our latest analysis for Evolent Health
In the above chart we have measured Evolent Health's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Evolent Health for free.
Evolent Health has recently broken into profitability so their prior investments seem to be paying off. The company was generating losses five years ago, but now it's earning 1.5% which is a sight for sore eyes. And unsurprisingly, like most companies trying to break into the black, Evolent Health is utilizing 36% more capital than it was five years ago. We like this trend, because it tells us the company has profitable reinvestment opportunities available to it, and if it continues going forward that can lead to a multi-bagger performance.
To the delight of most shareholders, Evolent Health has now broken into profitability. Since the total return from the stock has been almost flat over the last five years, there might be an opportunity here if the valuation looks good. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Evolent Health and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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