金吾财讯 | 华泰证券发研报指,港股上市永利澳门(01128)的母公司永利度假(WYNNUS)于美国时间2月13日盘后发布24Q4财报,WYNNUS盘后股价先涨超6%后跌回1%,主要系公司营收和盈利略超市场预期,拉斯维加斯EBITDA较为强劲,该行认为澳门业务:1)所有博彩业务GGR环比上升,但除中场外恢复均不及行业水平;2)EBITDAMargin在持续三个季度的下滑后有所好转,或表示向高利润率业务转型维持效果较好。该行表示,24Q4永利澳门(公司)博彩毛收入927百万美元,同比+2%,环比+6%,恢复至2019年的75%(行业80%)。VIP毛收入162百万美元,恢复至30%(行业43%),同比+4%,环比+15%;中场毛收入712百万美元,恢复至119%(行业111%),同比+1%,环比+4%;老虎机毛收入52百万美元,恢复至54%(行业87%),同比+8%,环比+1%。中场恢复超行业水平,但VIP、老虎机恢复不及行业,相较此前环比下跌,本季度博彩业务回暖。该行续指,1月澳门博彩收入达182.5亿澳门元,同比-6%。今年春节期间澳门日均客流仅恢复到19年的95%,较24年同比下滑,该行认为25年行业将面临更激烈竞争。博彩业转型散客化趋势明显,该行认为永利客房和商场等对比其他博企相对豪华,由低利润率业务转型至高利润率业务已见成效,但仍面临激烈竞争,因此该行维持25年7.2xEV/EBITDA,维持25E/26EEBITDA预测101/103亿港币,重申买入,目标价7.0港元。
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