With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x Universal Health Services, Inc. (NYSE:UHS) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been advantageous for Universal Health Services as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Universal Health Services
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Universal Health Services' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 59% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Universal Health Services' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Universal Health Services currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Universal Health Services you should know about.
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