【券商聚焦】中信证券预计4月前外部扰动有限 重点关注港股估值修复后的A股核心资产补涨

金吾财讯
17 Feb

金吾财讯 | 中信证券发研报指,当前仍处于春季躁动窗口期,预计4月前外部扰动有限,国内经济和政策预期有一定改善,市场边际资金结构在起变化,多因素预示着市场风格有望倒向A股核心资产。

首先,从宏观层面来看,预计4月前中美之间科技、贸易、金融领域摩擦有限,国内经济平稳回升,政策预期逐步兑现,依然处于春季躁动窗口。

其次,从市场资金面来看,DeepSeek改变了中国资产叙事,同时港股持续上涨引发外资回流预期升温,而国内活跃资金仓位已处高位,极致持仓风格的机构亦有再平衡需要。

最后,从板块热度和位置来看,科技和主题相关板块的情绪指标均处于高位,港股迅速修复估值后,A股核心资产反而成为阶段性洼地。配置上,核心资产补涨过程中,锂电和创新药可重点关注。

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