【弱美元下黄金继续强势,关注地缘进展】金十期货特约光大期货点评:2月17日,COMEX黄金企稳反弹,报收2911.2美元/盎司,涨幅0.36%。国内SHFE金夜盘延续高位震荡,报收678.22元/克,跌幅0.18%。1. 日本第四季度GDP数据超出预期,强化了市场对日本央行可能加息的预期,目前,市场预期日本央行到12月将再加息约35个基点。日元周一涨约0.5%,一度逼近151。欧元和英镑均小幅走强。美元指数周一冲高回落,徘徊两个月低点附近,提振金价走势。不过,美联储理事鲍曼在2025年美国银行家协会(ABA)社区银行家大会上表示,美联储在决定降息之前,需要对通胀持续下降建立更大信心,并密切关注特朗普政府的贸易政策对经济前景带来的不确定性。在美联储官员的鹰派发言下,金价短期上行空间或受到一定制约。2. 地缘方面,俄罗斯方面17日证实,俄美双方18日将在沙特阿拉伯首都利雅得举行会晤,为可能举行的乌克兰问题谈判做准备。若地缘局势迎来缓和,需警惕金价短期回调的风险。
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