金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示，4Q24业绩公布后，Meta、亚马逊、微软、谷歌四大巨头股价走势出现分化，市场持续关注上述巨头后续的投资价值。该行判断，当前北美宏观经济韧性带来的消费需求、IT开支复苏、未来AI的持续变现等是支撑科技巨头业绩上行的重要保障，但从四季报看，上述巨头在AI商业化进展、资本开支周期、监管因素等方面存在差异，进而导致走势分化。
该行认为，在当前的宏观条件下，科技巨头自身较为强劲的资产负债表与业绩高确定性依旧是美股科技股较为优质的长线资产，继续看好宏观韧性和生成式AI导入为科技巨头带来的机遇。该行看好美国互联网&软件巨头，并建议关注后续云厂商供应链改善、AI软件落地等带来的收入加速、利润率向上等业绩反转机会。
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