The board of Newmark Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:NMRK) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 17th of March, with investors receiving $0.03 per share. The dividend yield is 0.8% based on this payment, which is a little bit low compared to the other companies in the industry.
View our latest analysis for Newmark Group
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Prior to this announcement, Newmark Group's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 98.2%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 14%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
It's comforting to see that Newmark Group has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was $0.36, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.12. This works out to a decline of approximately 67% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's not great to see that Newmark Group's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 9.3% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Newmark Group that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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