U.S. stock futures were flat and swung between gains and losses on Friday following Thursday’s decline. The S&P 500 futures were trading a little below the flatline whereas other indices were in green.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ:BABA) shares jumped 14.56% in Hong Kong on Friday after exceeding the street’s expectations on Thursday. Other Chinese tech companies also rallied.
Gold neared the $3000 per ounce mark amid President Donald Trump and Elon Musk‘s remarks to visit the Forth Knox for the inspection of precious bullion reserves.
The 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.49%, while the two-year yield was at 4.26%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, there is a 97.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the March meeting.
Futures | Change (+/-) |
Nasdaq 100 | 0.08% |
S&P 500 | -0.01% |
Dow Jones | 0.09% |
Russell 2000 | 0.25% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Thursday. SPY was up 0.049% to $610.68, and QQQ advanced 0.12% to $537.88, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Cues From The Last Session
Sectors drove U.S. stock declines Thursday, with financials, consumer discretionary, and staples leading losses. Conversely, the energy and real estate sectors gained.
Jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 15 rose to 219,000, above the 215,000 estimate, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index sharply declined to 18.1
Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT) shares plunged 6.53% despite beating expectations as the retail giant’s growth forecast for the fiscal year 2026 was below the consensus.
Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
Nasdaq Composite | -0.47% | 19,962.36 |
S&P 500 | -0.43% | 6,117.52 |
Dow Jones | -1.01% | 44,176.65 |
Russell 2000 | -0.91% | 2,261.74 |
Insights From Analysts
“Volatility doesn't equal a permanent financial loss unless you sell,” said Peter Mallouk, in an X post.
CEO at Creative Planning, Mallouk shared a chart in an X post showing that the S&P 500 index has fallen 58% in 1930, 49% in 2008, and 34% in 2020, but despite these sharp declines it has returned an average of 10% per year since 1928.
The S&P 500 has returned an average of 10% per year since 1928 and has done so despite an average intra-year drawdown of 16%, and often drawdowns that are much worse. The lesson? Volatility doesn't equal a permanent financial loss unless you sell. pic.twitter.com/3aroEwPmoX
— Peter Mallouk (@PeterMallouk) February 19, 2025
Ryan Detrick, the chief market strategist at Carson Research highlighted that the second half of February is usually riskier for the S&P 500 returns. He mapped the data from 1950 to 2024, which showed that on average, the index has declined consistently after peaking on Feb. 15.
You are here. pic.twitter.com/kNomjDgH4h
— Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) February 20, 2025
Highlighting the fixed income opportunities, Scott Wren, the senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo said that investors should move money out of short-term instruments and into higher-yielding investment-grade fixed income further out on the maturity spectrum.
“We have conviction around our year-end target range of 4.50% – 5.00% for the U.S. 10-year Treasury note, and on that basis, we see attractive fixed-income opportunities for investors,” he said.
See Also: How to Trade Futures
Upcoming Economic Data
Here’s what investors will keep an eye on Friday:
Stocks In Focus:
Commodities, Gold And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.90% to hover around $71.83 per barrel.
The gold spot index was down by 0.31% to $2,929.69 per ounce after hitting a fresh record of $2,949.87. The Dollar Index was up 0.26% at 106.651 level.
Asian markets ended mostly higher on Friday. Except for Australia's ASX 200, and India's S&P BSE Sensex index, all indices including, China's CSI 300, South Korea's Kospi, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose. European markets were mixed in trade.
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