【券商聚焦】交银国际维持携程集团(09961)买入评级 仍看好出游需求释放潜力

金吾财讯
Feb 26

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,携程集团(09961)2024年4季度业绩:总收入同比增24%,其中住宿+33%/交通+16%/旅游度假+24%/商旅+11%。调整后净利率同比下降2个百分点,因Trip.com海外品牌营销增加投入。展望2025年1季度,该行预计:1)内地酒店收入保持双位数增长,机票收入因单票收入下降抵消量的增长;2)出境机酒量增20-30%;3)Trip.com机酒收入保持高速增长。增加海外新市场投放以及海外业务人员拖累公司利润率提升,预计调整后运营利润率同比降4个百分点。该行预计2025年公司收入增17%,高于指引的14-15%,较该行此前上调约3%,主要因该行对出境业务及Trip.com增长前景更为乐观。基于短期海外地区投入的影响,该行下调2025年利润预测3%。该行仍看好出游需求释放潜力,国内运营杠杆效应、AI响应率提高带来的成本节约空间将部分缓释利润率短期压力,维持目标价605港元/78美元及买入评级。

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