市场调查机构TrendForce预测,今年全球新车销售将到9,060万辆,按年升2.4%。其中中国市场销售占29%,美国及西欧市场各占18%及15%。机构指,美国市场因关税面临重大不确定性,中国智能汽车领的竞争预计将升温。
机构指出,美国、加拿大及墨西哥汽车供应链高度互联。生产商或试图转移生产减轻关税影响,但完全撤出墨西哥生产具挑战性,零部件关税和供应链调整将进一步推高成本,制造商很可能以加价转嫁成本。机构预测,若美国对墨西哥和加拿大的进口商品征收25%关税,车辆价格上涨或促使推迟购买,或转向租赁和二手车市场。今年美国汽车销售增长可能从预期的1%转为负3%。
机构亦预计,今年中国新车销售按年升2%,受惠于延长汽车置换补贴计划并扩大资格标准。新能源汽车将占中国新车销售50%。机构指,比亚迪(01211.HK) 推动全民智能驾驶,将高级驾驶辅助功能整合到价格实惠车款。预计将加速中国智能驾驶技术普及,同时加剧本地智能汽车供应链竞争。(fc/w)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-25 16:25。)
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