【黄金高位整理,关注周五晚公布的PCE数据】金十期货2月26日讯,2月25日,COMEX黄金价格下跌1.17%至2928.60美元/盎司,沪金主连下跌1.18%至678.80元/克。1. 数据方面,美国2月咨商会消费者信心指数报98.3,预期102.5,前值104.1。消费者信心继续转弱,重要指标创2021年以来最大降幅。2. 降息方面,美联储巴尔金表示,在人们对通胀回归目标有更多信心之前,政策应保持适度的限制性。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示,3月维持利率不变的概率为95.5%,降息25个基点的概率为4.5%,到5月维持当前利率不变的概率为73.9%,累计降息25个基点的概率为25.1%,累计降息50个基点的概率为1%。3. 综合而言,隔夜美黄金盘中一度失守2900美元/盎司整数关口,短线重回高位整理区间,关注周五晚数据对盘面的进一步指引。
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