里昂发表报告指，阅文(00772.HK) 发布盈警，预计去年国际财务报告准则(IFRS)净亏损介于1.5亿至2.5亿人民币，主要因为新丽传媒商誉减值10.5亿至11.5亿人民币。去年非IFRS净利润预计11亿至11.5亿人民币，与对上年度持平，但较市场预期低18%至22%。该差异或源于去年下半年新丽传媒剧集延迟发布、内容推广支出超预期及生成式AI研发投资增加。
里昂下调对阅文2024年至2026年经调整净利润预测18%至19%，反映新丽传媒未来利润减少及销售与市场费用增加。该行基于现金流折现法计目标价，由原来32元下调至28.5元。考虑到8%的下行空间，该行将阅文投资评级从“跑赢大市”下调至“持有”，因为市场对盈利的不确定性增加。(fc/w)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-25 16:25。)
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