中金表示,理想汽车(02015.HK) 首次发布纯电SUV i8图片。市场此前较担忧纯电销量、混动格局恶化等因素,对股价形成压制;i8外观改动明显,初步释放股价压制因素。
中金认为对纯电业务不必悲观。此前纯电业务市场分歧主要聚焦外观和补能。i8首次亮相,外观相比MEGA有大量改动,市场悲观情绪有所缓解;中金判断i8将于年中左右发布,车型近期或有更多积极信息逐步释放。MEGA上市后销量低于预期,近一年公司基于原有纯电积淀,进一步增强补能网络;理想超充站已建1,862座,且1至2月布局加速,中金预计年中左右车型上市时可建成3至4千座超充站,超越特斯拉中国的补能网络密度,缓解消费者补能焦虑。高端纯电市场格局未定,公司产品力提升有望提振市场份额。
中金看好理想汽车智驾龙头车企的泛AI逻辑演绎。公司近期推送OTA7.0,实现全场景端到端推送,并通过智驾决策逻辑可视化,增强营销宣传,优化消费者体验;公司现金流、算力储备位居可比车企前列;同时中金判断现有Pro车型也有望搭载激光雷达,实现城市NOA功能标配,综合看中金认为公司智驾能力位居市场前列。此外,中金更看好公司泛AI布局,一方面公司近期战略上ALL IN AI,CEO李想本人于访谈中多次强调公司在基座模型的投入和领先优势。另一方面,公司智驾基座模型采用端到端+VLM架构,并提及将向VLA架构演进,与近期Figure正式发布自研的端到端VLA通用具身智能模型Helix技术路径类似,中金看好公司在泛AI领域能力表现和估值提升机会。
中金维持理想汽车“跑赢行业”评级,上调目标价21%至155港元。(ad/u)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-26 12:25。)
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