金吾财讯 | 国信证券发研报指,颐海国际(01579)是一家专注于火锅底料、中式复合调味品、方便食品生产的食品加工企业,是国内复合调味品领先企业。该行指,疫后复调景气度减弱,中长期成长逻辑仍强,B端渗透率提高的三条路径主要为连锁化、降本增效和场景拓展,C端路径则为满足便捷性需求。另外,公司多次迭代渠道管理体系,在海底捞基因的影响下引入合伙人制度,提升了销售体系效率,2024年将考核方式转向增量利润激励,渠道管理逐渐企稳。随着海底捞门店经营回暖,调价影响减弱,关联方预计贡献稳步修复。该行指,颐海国际的组织经历多轮变革迭代,研发机制具有创新基因,核心竞争力突出。根据该行的预测,24-26年收入分别为66.3/72.6/79.1亿元,同比增加7.8%/9.5%/9.0%,24-26年公司实现归母净利润7.8/8.9/10.0亿元,同比-8.6%/14.1%/12.3%;实现EPS0.75/0.86/0.96元;当前股价对应PE分别为18.1/15.9/14.1倍,若给予公司2025年17-18XPE,则对应股价16.71-17.69HKD,对应市值173-183亿元,较现价有9%-20%溢价空间。首次覆盖,给予优于大市评级。
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