港股异动 | 兖煤澳大利亚(03668)涨近3% 机构预期煤价下跌可能拖累公司业绩 但仍有望体现一定任性

智通财经
25 Feb

智通财经APP获悉,兖煤澳大利亚(03668)涨近3%,截至发稿,涨2.2%,报30.25港元,成交额971.93万港元。

中金发布研报指出,兖煤澳大利亚2024收入68.6亿澳元,同比-12%,归母净利润12.16亿澳元,同比-33%,每股收益0.92澳元,业绩下滑主要是煤价下跌;2H24公司归母净利润7.96亿澳元,同比/环比-5.9%/+90%。公司业绩好于该行预期,主要是澳元贬值,其他收入中外汇收益净额同比+1.49亿澳元。此外,该行认为,公司盈利受煤价下滑影响,但股息率仍具一定吸引力。

该行续指,2025年以来(截至2-21),煤炭供需整体偏宽松,NEWC动力煤价格平均112美元/吨,API5动力煤价格平均79美元/吨,风景矿主焦煤价格平均191美元/吨,较1Q24分别下滑12%、15%、38%。该行认为,考虑到公司盈利弹性较大,预期煤价下跌可能拖累公司业绩,但若公司能够完成更好的产量和成本表现,公司业绩仍有望体现一定韧性。

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