2月26日消息,港股三大指数早间强势上涨,均涨超2%。
2月26日早间,中信证券发布报告表示,港股反转行情料将延续。中信证券认为,特朗普签署《美国优先投资政策》备忘录,并不会对全球资金投资中国企业产生实质性的影响;港股企业自美国的收入占比已在2023年降至1.7%,基本面影响有限;而指数层面的再平衡也仅有短期的影响。
另一方面,年初以来南向日均净买入港股68亿港元,在近期美国经济基本面已出现走弱迹象下,海外资金在中长期维度也有望延续今年1月24日流入港股的趋势。
此外,在此轮上涨后,当前恒指和恒科的动态PE仅处于历史45%和31%的分位数,叠加业绩预期的上修和卖空占比维持高位,港股安全边际仍然充分。
综合来看,在AI叙事持续催化、基本面预期改善、全球资金轮动的背景下,即便有短期事件性的扰动,我们判断港股仍将延续2024年以来的反转行情。
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