汇丰研究发表报告指,随着更广泛地认同内地房地产市场已见底的观点,投资者从科技股转向地产股。根据以标准化长期盈利计算的不同估值方案估计,内房股隐含上升空间最高达42%。
该行计算显示,若开发商的房地产开发毛利率能在目前假设的水平上提升1个百分点,且市盈率达到其长期假设,则股价可能攀升13至42%。单独计算利润率的影响,料利润率每提升1个百分点,物业发展纯利的上升空间介乎5至14%。
该行继续看好润地(01109.HK) 、龙湖(00960.HK) 、华润万象生活(01209.HK) 及贝壳(BEKE.US) ,均获“买入”评级,认为在楼价、 物业销售回稳,以及强劲的零售执行力的前提下,这些公司均有潜力在今年后看到盈利改善。同时认为万科(02202.HK) 对政策消息较为敏感,但盈利表现较难扭转。而越秀(00123.HK) 则是明显落后者,估值仍低于同业一级。
股份 | 投资评级 | 目标价(港元)
润地(01109.HK) | 买入 | 32.5
万科(02202.HK) | 持有 | 6.0
龙湖(00960.HK) | 买入 | 12.0
越秀(00123.HK) | 持有 | 5.3
华润万象生活(01209.HK) | 买入 | 38.8
贝壳(BEKE.US) | 买入 | 26.8
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