美银指,石药(01093.HK) 发盈警,料去年纯利跌约26%,对比该行预测跌8%,扣除预付款影响则按年跌18%。成药销售按年跌约7%,对比该行预估的扣除预付款后跌9%。公司称收入及净利润下跌主要由津优力及多美素于京津冀“3+N”联盟药品集采中价格下跌,以及玄宁没有在国家第八批集采中中选,导致抗癌治疗及心向管治疗领域收入按年跌28%及15%。
该行指,多美素去年12月于国家第十批集采中中选,但面临另一轮减价。在去年国家报销药品清单磋商中,丁苯(酉太)注射及胶囊价格跌12.5%及3.6%,石药内生销售增长将面对进一步压力。并预期丁苯(酉太)市场剧烈竞争下,丁苯(酉太)非专利药版本短期推出。另一方面,该行料公司今年将从授权中取得预付款。
该行调整对石药2024年至2026年收入预测,介乎下调1%至上调3%。同时上调去年及今年纯利预测19%及1%,但下调明年纯利预测12%。目标价由4.1元降至4元,维持“跑输大市”评级,基于主要产品减价影响。(fc/k)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-26 16:25。)
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