Zoom Communications Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZM) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent profit numbers. Our analysis says that investors should be optimistic, as the strong profit is built on solid foundations.
See our latest analysis for Zoom Communications
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to January 2025, Zoom Communications had an accrual ratio of -0.73. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$1.8b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.01b. Zoom Communications' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Surprisingly, given Zoom Communications' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by US$177m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Zoom Communications doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Zoom Communications' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Zoom Communications' profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you'd like to know more about Zoom Communications as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Zoom Communications and we think they deserve your attention.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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