Markets Might Keep Repricing Lower Terminal Fed Funds Rate -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Mar 03, 2025

0714 GMT - The downward correction in market pricing of the terminal Fed funds rate--where the Federal Reserve stops cutting interest rates--can continue a bit longer, says Danske Bank Research's Asger Wilhelm Dalsjoe in a note. Recent weak U.S. data have prompted money markets to lower bets on the terminal Fed rates. "We think the downward correction can proceed a bit longer, as we target a terminal rate of 3-3.25%," the assistant analyst says. Markets currently price the terminal Fed rate at around 3.50% to be reached in the second quarter of 2026, according to LSEG data. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, closed 6 basis points lower at 4.229% on Friday, currently trades 0.6 basis point higher at 4.235%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 03, 2025 02:14 ET (07:14 GMT)

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

{"basename":"","ssrTDKData":{"titleTemplate":"%s - Tiger Brokers","title":"Tiger Brokers | Global Stocks, Options & Futures Trading App","description":"Tiger Brokers, one-stop investment in US stocks, SGX stocks, HK stocks, A-shares & other global assets. One of the best stock trading platforms in Singapore.","keywords":"tiger brokers,tiger trade,tiger brokers singapore,broker online,stock trading in singapore,share trading singapore,brokerage firm singapore,trading app,stock broker singapore,stock trading platforms,trading account","social":{"ogDescription":"Tiger Brokers, one-stop investment in US stocks, SGX stocks, HK stocks, A-shares & other global assets. One of the best stock trading platforms in Singapore.","ogImage":"https://c1.itigergrowtha.com/portal5/static/media/og-logo.be62fbe1.png","ogUrl":"https://www.itiger.com/news/2516503489"},"companyName":"Tiger Brokers"},"pageData":{"isMobile":false,"isTiger":false,"isTTM":true,"region":"SGP","license":"TBSG","edition":"fundamental"},"isCrawlerRequest":true,"__swrFallback__":{"@#url:\"https://stock-news.skytigris.cn/v3/news\",params:#id:\"2516503489\",edition:\"fundamental\",auth_exemption:1,,,undefined,":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2516503489?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2025-03-03 15:14","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2516503489","market":"other","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Markets Might Keep Repricing Lower Terminal Fed Funds Rate -- Market Talk","media":"Dow Jones","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0714 GMT - The downward correction in market pricing of the terminal Fed funds rate--where the Federal Reserve stops cutting interest rates--can continue a bit longer, says Danske Bank Research's Asger Wilhelm Dalsjoe in a note. Recent weak U.S. data have prompted money markets to lower bets on the terminal Fed rates. \"We think the downward correction can proceed a bit longer, as we target a terminal rate of 3-3.25%,\" the assistant analyst says. Markets currently price the terminal Fed rate at around 3.50% to be reached in the second quarter of 2026, according to LSEG data. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, closed 6 basis points lower at 4.229% on Friday, currently trades 0.6 basis point higher at 4.235%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 03, 2025 02:14 ET (07:14 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Markets Might Keep Repricing Lower Terminal Fed Funds Rate -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarkets Might Keep Repricing Lower Terminal Fed Funds Rate -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-03 15:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0714 GMT - The downward correction in market pricing of the terminal Fed funds rate--where the Federal Reserve stops cutting interest rates--can continue a bit longer, says Danske Bank Research's Asger Wilhelm Dalsjoe in a note. Recent weak U.S. data have prompted money markets to lower bets on the terminal Fed rates. \"We think the downward correction can proceed a bit longer, as we target a terminal rate of 3-3.25%,\" the assistant analyst says. Markets currently price the terminal Fed rate at around 3.50% to be reached in the second quarter of 2026, according to LSEG data. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, closed 6 basis points lower at 4.229% on Friday, currently trades 0.6 basis point higher at 4.235%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 03, 2025 02:14 ET (07:14 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK1215","symbol_name":"特殊消费者服务","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2516503489","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2516503489","pubTimestamp":1740986040,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0714 GMT - The downward correction in market pricing of the terminal Fed funds rate--where the Federal Reserve stops cutting interest rates--can continue a bit longer, says Danske Bank Research's Asger Wilhelm Dalsjoe in a note. Recent weak U.S. data have prompted money markets to lower bets on the terminal Fed rates. \"We think the downward correction can proceed a bit longer, as we target a terminal rate of 3-3.25%,\" the assistant analyst says. Markets currently price the terminal Fed rate at around 3.50% to be reached in the second quarter of 2026, according to LSEG data. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, closed 6 basis points lower at 4.229% on Friday, currently trades 0.6 basis point higher at 4.235%, according to Tradeweb. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK1215":"特殊消费者服务","03650":"KEEP"},"translate_title":"市场可能会继续重新定价较低的终端联邦基金利率——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US6M.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"03650":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1},"content_text":"0714 GMT - The downward correction in market pricing of the terminal Fed funds rate--where the Federal Reserve stops cutting interest rates--can continue a bit longer, says Danske Bank Research's Asger Wilhelm Dalsjoe in a note. Recent weak U.S. data have prompted money markets to lower bets on the terminal Fed rates. \"We think the downward correction can proceed a bit longer, as we target a terminal rate of 3-3.25%,\" the assistant analyst says. Markets currently price the terminal Fed rate at around 3.50% to be reached in the second quarter of 2026, according to LSEG data. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, closed 6 basis points lower at 4.229% on Friday, currently trades 0.6 basis point higher at 4.235%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 03, 2025 02:14 ET (07:14 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}