We recently compiled a list of the 12 Undervalued Wide Moat Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) stands against the other undervalued wide moat stocks.
As per BlackRock, European equity gains have managed to outpace the US to start 2025. Despite this, the asset manager expects the US to reclaim leadership this year as the corporate earnings strength and the AI theme broaden out. The US equities have long exceeded the performance of their global peers. BlackRock expects that this has been made possible because of deeper capital markets and relative deregulation which promote risk-taking. The US can keep its edge, despite the S&P 500 lagging so far this year.
As per Savita Subramanian, head of US Equity and Quantitative Strategy for BofA Global Research, the market has been broadening out. Last year and the year before that, the mega-cap tech companies managed to outperform the rest of the S&P. However, in the current year, broader market trends are visible. As per Subramanian, higher productivity and reshoring of manufacturing to the US are the 2 positive forces that are expected to fuel potential market growth beyond the tech sector.
As per Reuters, the volatility is expected to increase due to tariff announcements, policy changes from President Donald Trump, and job cuts, resulting in uncertainty. Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, has a year-end forecast for the S&P 500 of 6,500 as his “base case.”
READ ALSO: 7 Best Stocks to Buy For Long-Term and 8 Cheap Jim Cramer Stocks to Invest In.
BlackRock expects that mega-cap tech and other AI-linked stocks will keep driving the US equity returns, mainly as and when the AI adoption grows. That being said, there are signs of earnings strength broadening beyond technology. The analysts now anticipate tech to post 18% earnings growth this year in comparison to 11% for the broader index. As per the LSEG data, this is a smaller gap versus 2024.
Overall, strong economic growth, broadening of earnings growth and a quality tilt underpin the firm’s conviction and overweight in US stocks as compared to other regions. The valuations for the big tech are backed by healthy earnings, and less lofty valuations for several other sectors. As per Kristy Akullian, CFA, Head of iShares Investment Strategy, there are tailwinds potentially favoring US equities over the rest of the world, mainly large-cap companies. The relatively easy financial conditions, healthy consumer balance sheets, and the expectations of deregulation and tax cuts continue to support the positive view.
To list the 12 Undervalued Wide Moat Stocks to Buy According to Analysts, we used a screener and sifted through several media reports to choose companies having an economic moat and that analysts see upside to. Next, we filtered out the ones that trade at a forward P/E of less than ~20.0x. Finally, the stocks are arranged in ascending order of their average upside potential, as of February 28.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
Average Upside Potential: ~36.5%
Forward P/E as of February 28: ~15.7x
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 150
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) operates as a diversified health care company in the US. The company has a strong economic moat, which stems from the cost advantage and network effects. TD Cowen analyst Ryan Langston maintained a "Buy" rating on the company's stock, setting a price target of $609.00. The rating is backed by strategic initiatives and pricing strategies that are expected to fuel growth. Furthermore, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) managed to improve its operating cost ratio, mainly because of its strategic portfolio initiatives, which continues to act as a positive indicator for future profitability.
The company's diversified portfolio, spanning health insurance, healthcare services, and pharmacy benefits management, places it well for continued growth. The synergies between such segments enable UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) for cross-selling opportunities and integrated care delivery models. With healthcare evolving towards value-based care, the company's Optum segment remains well-positioned to capitalize on such a trend. Its strong Medicare Advantage growth and expanding presence in Medicaid markets can offer several avenues for revenue expansion and market share gains. Overall, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH)'s strategy, which includes expansion of value-based care models and leveraging its scale and analytics capabilities to enhance its market share, is expected to fuel long-term growth.
Bretton Capital Management, an investment management company, released its Q4 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“We invest in UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) because we believe this revealed preference is real. The regulatory landscape changes constantly, there is plenty of noise in the system, and it is possible to imagine a world where health insurers would not be necessary. However, the massive healthcare system we’re in today structurally relies on private companies to play the crucial role of managing care and negotiating prices, and we don’t think the US government is prepared to take all that over. It was a bad year for our investment, as the stock returned a negative 2.4%, but it trades for a meaningful discount to the market despite consistently delivering double digit earnings growth for years, including 10% last year.
First, the elephant in the room. On December 4, Brian Thompson, who ran UnitedHealth’s insurance business, was assassinated in New York City. Shell casings had the words “deny” and “depose” written on them, a bullet was inscribed with “delay.” Five days later, Luigi Mangione was arrested in Pennsylvania with what appears to be the murder weapon and a manifesto criticizing the American healthcare system. Mangione has since become a cult celebrity.
Healthcare is not a normal market. Governments have decided that healthcare is worth intervening in to achieve noneconomic outcomes, most notably providing care for people who can’t afford it. Each country’s regulatory system designs its system and rations healthcare in its own way: the UK employs providers directly and attempts a central triage function to allocate care; continental European systems typically have private providers but some version of all-payer rate setting; and the US has a decentralized model where providers can charge whatever they want, but payers can choose not to pay it, plus government-run systems like Medicare and Medicaid that cover about 35% of Americans. Every system implements some type of brake on costs, usually a combination of the government and private companies, and the US system leans more on the private sector for this than others. Our system is not without its benefits. It is vastly more lucrative for providers like surgeons and medical device companies. It also allows for some measure of money signal; if you are a rich weekend warrior with an orthopedic issue, the American system will offer a dizzying array of cutting-edge specialists where the UK would suggest getting used to the feeling of aging and stiffening one’s upper lip. However, our system violates the social expectation of the word “insurance…” (Click here to read the full text)
Overall UNH ranks 1st on our list of the undervalued wide moat stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of UNH as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than UNH but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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