Analysts Are Updating Their The Honest Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:HNST) Estimates After Its Yearly Results

Simply Wall St.
01 Mar

The Honest Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:HNST) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.8% to US$5.40 in the week after its latest yearly results. Revenues of US$378m were in line with expectations, although statutory losses per share were US$0.06, some 12% smaller than was expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Honest Company

NasdaqGS:HNST Earnings and Revenue Growth March 1st 2025

After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Honest Company are now predicting revenues of US$399.3m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 5.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Honest Company forecast to report a statutory profit of US$0.005 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$396.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.037 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a pretty serious reduction to EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at US$7.42, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Honest Company analyst has a price target of US$9.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$5.50. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 5.5% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 6.3% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 3.6% annually. So it's pretty clear that Honest Company is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$7.42, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Honest Company going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We also provide an overview of the Honest Company Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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