《大行》交银国际升信义光能(00968.HK)目标价至4.28元 评级“买入”

阿斯达克财经
04 Mar

交银国际发表研究报告,指信义光能(00968.HK) 减值及汇兑损失拖累去年业绩,不过供应大幅收缩加上需求回升,3月光伏玻璃价格强劲反弹,预计3月起组件月产量有望恢复至55GW,而目前玻璃月产量不到50GW,3月2毫米玻璃价格涨幅高达每平米2元人民币或17%,测算将使公司玻璃毛利率回升至约12%。尽管盈利大幅回升,但公司希望行业现时的良好供需走势维持更长时间,5月前不会考虑点火,即使部分其他企业选择近期点火,3个月的爬坡期也将导致短期供应刚性,因此预计本轮涨价有望持续较长时间。

公司列账货币由港元改为人民币(下同),该行对信义光能今年至2027年各年盈测分别为22.1亿元、33.2亿元及39.3亿元。而2月10日国常会研究化解重点产业结构性矛盾政策措施,政府层面明确光伏供应方面改革意愿,预计具体政策有望近期出炉。由于供应面改革确定性及市场整体估值提高,将目标价由4.04港元升至4.28港元,维持“买入”评级。(vc/da)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-03-03 16:25。)

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