3 月 4 日，据 CoinDesk 报道，纳斯达克指数周一触发了“双顶”看跌反转形态，加剧了比特币短期下行风险。研究机构 Ecoinometrics 表示，比特币的长期复苏与纳斯达克上升趋势密切相关，比特币过去 24 小时内已下跌超过 10%，回吐了周日至今涨幅。今日早些时候比特币价格一度测试 200 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 支撑位 82,587 美元。
200 日均线被视为长期趋势的关键指标，价格跌破此水平通常被解读为可能出现重大损失的信号。纳斯达克自 12 月中旬以来在 22,200 附近形成两个峰值，谷底在 20,538 美元，周二收于谷底支撑位以下，确认双顶看跌反转形态。根据技术分析理论，随后的下跌幅度可能至少为峰值与谷底之间距离的 70%，意味着纳斯达克可能跌至 19,400。若比特币跌破 200 日均线，下一个支撑位将直接位于转为支撑的前历史高点 73,757 美元。
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