新增细节
路透3月4日 - 高盛在周一的报告中称，原油供应高于预期，以及美国经济活动疲软和关税升级可能导致的需求下滑，给油价预测带来了下行风险。
该行预测，2025/2026年布兰特原油平均价格为每桶78/73美元，交易区间为70-85美元，美国西德克萨斯中质原油平均价格约为每桶74/68美元。
高盛预计，在OPEC+为期18个月供应增加的风险情景下，到2026年底布兰特原油将跌至60-65美元。
该投资银行估计，对加拿大和墨西哥石油征收关税，或对所有美国进口石油征收关税，不会对 WTI 或布兰特石油价格产生重大影响。
鉴于近期美国经济活动数据不佳、关税升级以及对中国石油需求的预测持续疲软，高盛还认为 2025 年110万桶/日的石油需求增长预测存在一定的下行风险。(完)
(编审 戴素萍)
((emmy.tai@thomsonreuters.com; +886-2-87295112;))
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