3 月 3 日,QCP 发布每日分析称,“经历了风风火火的一周,我们最终又回到了上周一的起点。
周末,特朗普宣布成立美国加密战略储备(U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve)。有些人认为这一举措早已被市场消化,而另一些人则视其为今年晚些时候推动加密货币创下历史新高的唯一强劲催化剂。然而,特朗普选择提前打出这张“救命牌”,在周日的低流动性时段将 BTC 拉回 9 万美元以上。
随着风险资产的回暖,我们算是重新进入多头节奏了吗?还不算。目前,BTC 仍在数月区间的低点附近震荡,前端加密市场波动率仍较高,两大主流币(BTC & ETH)仍呈现 Put Skew(看跌偏斜)。同时,VIX 指数(恐慌指数)仍处高位,反映出广义风险资产市场的整体不安,尤其是在美国政府近期加剧贸易关税冲突之后。
当我们以为特朗普的筹码已经用尽,他可能仍然隐藏着更多的惊喜。”
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