金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示，2月28日，中国煤炭工业协会与运销协会联合发布倡议书，为应对下游需求增长不及预期，提出通过有序控制煤炭产量、优化进口结构等措施维护市场供需平衡。文件强调在下游需求不足、库存高企的背景下，煤炭企业需主动调节生产节奏，避免供过于求加剧，同时严控低卡劣质煤进口。该行认为这一倡议释放了行业主动调节供给的信号，在需求尚未明显复苏的窗口期，供给端约束有望加速市场积压库存以及高成本供给的出清，有助于煤价逐步筑底企稳，叠加进口煤结构性调控，煤炭行业或迎来阶段性供需格局改善，价格下行压力或边际缓解。供需宽松下，推荐关注高长协比例及一体化动力煤龙头。
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