U.S. 2-Year Treasurys Have Some Room to Rally, Says Natixis -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Mar 04, 2025

0647 GMT - Two-year U.S. Treasurys have room to rally, says Natixis's Benoit Gerard. Natixis forecasts the 2-year Treasury yield to reach 3.85% at the end of the year. In contrast, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to hover around Natixis's year-end target of 4.50%, with some volatility, the rates strategist says. Natixis's forecast assumes that the market does not anticipate that the Federal Reserve's next move is a hike nor anticipates a recession. "Contradicting forces around the supply and demand dynamics should keep a decent support for term premium in U.S. Treasurys curve while preventing the eruption predicted by bond vigilantes," he says. The 10-year Treasury yield last trades at 4.157%, down 2.3 basis points, while the 2-year Treasury yield falls 3 bps to 3.951%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 04, 2025 01:47 ET (06:47 GMT)

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Natixis forecasts the 2-year Treasury yield to reach 3.85% at the end of the year. In contrast, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to hover around Natixis's year-end target of 4.50%, with some volatility, the rates strategist says. Natixis's forecast assumes that the market does not anticipate that the Federal Reserve's next move is a hike nor anticipates a recession. \"Contradicting forces around the supply and demand dynamics should keep a decent support for term premium in U.S. Treasurys curve while preventing the eruption predicted by bond vigilantes,\" he says. The 10-year Treasury yield last trades at 4.157%, down 2.3 basis points, while the 2-year Treasury yield falls 3 bps to 3.951%, according to Tradeweb. 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Natixis forecasts the 2-year Treasury yield to reach 3.85% at the end of the year. In contrast, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to hover around Natixis's year-end target of 4.50%, with some volatility, the rates strategist says. Natixis's forecast assumes that the market does not anticipate that the Federal Reserve's next move is a hike nor anticipates a recession. \"Contradicting forces around the supply and demand dynamics should keep a decent support for term premium in U.S. Treasurys curve while preventing the eruption predicted by bond vigilantes,\" he says. The 10-year Treasury yield last trades at 4.157%, down 2.3 basis points, while the 2-year Treasury yield falls 3 bps to 3.951%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 04, 2025 01:47 ET (06:47 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"NTXFF","symbol_name":"Natixis","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2516894648","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2516894648","pubTimestamp":1741070820,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0647 GMT - Two-year U.S. Treasurys have room to rally, says Natixis's Benoit Gerard. Natixis forecasts the 2-year Treasury yield to reach 3.85% at the end of the year. In contrast, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to hover around Natixis's year-end target of 4.50%, with some volatility, the rates strategist says. Natixis's forecast assumes that the market does not anticipate that the Federal Reserve's next move is a hike nor anticipates a recession. \"Contradicting forces around the supply and demand dynamics should keep a decent support for term premium in U.S. Treasurys curve while preventing the eruption predicted by bond vigilantes,\" he says. The 10-year Treasury yield last trades at 4.157%, down 2.3 basis points, while the 2-year Treasury yield falls 3 bps to 3.951%, according to Tradeweb. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"NTXFF":"Natixis"},"translate_title":"Natixis表示，美国2年期国债有一定上涨空间——市场谈话","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9,"NTXFF":1,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9},"content_text":"0647 GMT - Two-year U.S. Treasurys have room to rally, says Natixis's Benoit Gerard. Natixis forecasts the 2-year Treasury yield to reach 3.85% at the end of the year. In contrast, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to hover around Natixis's year-end target of 4.50%, with some volatility, the rates strategist says. Natixis's forecast assumes that the market does not anticipate that the Federal Reserve's next move is a hike nor anticipates a recession. \"Contradicting forces around the supply and demand dynamics should keep a decent support for term premium in U.S. Treasurys curve while preventing the eruption predicted by bond vigilantes,\" he says. The 10-year Treasury yield last trades at 4.157%, down 2.3 basis points, while the 2-year Treasury yield falls 3 bps to 3.951%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 04, 2025 01:47 ET (06:47 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}