金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示,CFM闪存市场跟踪数据显示,近一周部分渠道SSD产品料号价格出现小幅上涨,1Q25存储价格基本处于磨底阶段。供给端看,美光、三星、SK海力士等海外大厂2025年将减少NAND资本开支并陆续减产DDR4产品(2H24已开始逐步停产DDR3);需求端看,AI赋能手机、PC等消费电子终端有望带动换机需求和单机容量增长,且字节、阿里等互联网厂商2025年数据中心资本开支进一步加大。该行预计2H25消费级存储产品供需结构将出现改善,价格有望回暖;eSSD、HBM、大容量DDR5等产品受益于数据中心需求高景气,2025年价格将保持在较高水平。此外,2025年国内互联网企业进一步加快存储产品采购的国产化进程,国内存储颗粒及模组厂商份额或将明显提升,建议关注相关投资机遇。
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