【美棉出口面临严峻挑战,分析师如何看待后续价格走势?】金十期货3月5日讯,昨日,中方对美棉加征关税后,ICE美棉期货盘中跌幅超2%,创下2020年9月份以来新低。1. 光大期货资源品分析师孙成震表示,短期来看利空美棉期价,长期来看对美棉后续出口订单影响较大。中美互加关税之后,纺织品出口美国已无利润,在美棉进口成本进一步增加的情况下,势必会影响我国进口美棉数量,美棉出口将面临严峻挑战,全球棉花进出口格局可能出现新变化。2. 银河期货棉花分析师刘倩楠表示,短期来看,加征关税实际影响的进口美棉数量有限,长期来看,中美棉花贸易量会减少,美棉短时间内难以找到替代市场,未来销售端将面临较大压力。此外,随着中美棉花贸易量减少,预计郑棉和美棉走势的相关性可能会下降。
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