金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,在技术进步增强风电经济性和电网适应性优势提升的背景下,国内新能源建设重心或向风电倾斜,该行预计2025年国内风电装机规模将达115GW以上(+~30% YoY),且“十五五”风电年均装机或维持高位。同时,海外加码风电政策支持力度,加快海风项目拍卖和供应链招标,市场空间大,全球风能理事会(GWEC)预计未来3年新增装机CAGR或达23%,有望于2026年起接力中国贡献全球风电需求主要增量。整体节奏来看,该行预计短期“十四五”收官,国内风电装机需求有望快速放量,中长期国内外海风需求支撑有力。该行指,在风电行业将迎来景气高启的背景下,产业链相关环节有望充分受益,企业或将迎来业绩快速增长。风电叶片作为风机核心零部件,是装机交付的关键环节。在需求释放和技术进步的驱动下,叶片及相关材料部件有望充分受益,量价齐升,该行建议关注叶片、模具、轮毂铸件以及原材料等环节。
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