QCP Capital:美比特币战略储备执行令落地,BTC 短线回调但长期利好。

Odaily
07 Mar

Odaily星球日报讯 市场原本期待今晚白宫加密峰会,但特朗普提前签署比特币战略储备(Strategic Bitcoin Reserve)及美国数字资产储备(U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile)行政令,引发市场剧烈波动。尽管这一消息被视为长期利好,但 BTC 仍按照**“利好出尽即抛售”**模式,从 90,000 美元回落至 85,000 美元。 市场反应及影响: BTC 短线大幅下跌,交易者对今晚峰会的预期落空。 波动率大幅回落,短期看涨期权需求锐减,市场对风险逆转(Risk Reversal)重新偏向看跌。 市场调整的核心原因:该储备未分配新预算用于 BTC 购买,仅由政府已持有的没收 BTC 作为初始资金。 长期展望: 美政府未来仍可能继续累积 BTC,财政部和商务部已获授权探索无需新增纳税人支出的购币策略。 Silk Road 没收 BTC 的随机抛售风险基本消除,市场长期供需结构更稳定。 短期交易焦点转向今晚非农数据(NFP),若数据意外波动,可能引发加密市场与风险资产的进一步震荡。

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