Odaily星球日报讯 CoinDesk 高级分析师 James Van Straten 表示:市场预计欧洲央行(ECB)将在周四宣布降息至 2.65%,继续从 4.5%峰值进行宽松调整。此举可能进一步推动全球流动性宽松,并为加密货币等风险资产提供利好信号。 市场环境变化: 预计美联储(Fed)将在 2025 年至少降息 3 次,德国和中国亦采取财政宽松政策,以提振经济。 由于德国财政刺激政策推动德国 10 年期国债收益率升至 2.8%(2011 年以来最高),欧洲债市出现剧烈波动,美元指数(DXY)走低。 英国和日本债券收益率大幅上升,其中日本 10 年期国债收益率突破 1.5%,创 17 年新高。 影响分析: 尽管经济增长存在不确定性,但全球流动性条件整体仍趋向宽松。市场观察人士认为,这可能继续支撑风险资产及加密市场,尽管债券市场波动可能带来短期金融紧缩压力。
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