If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Kenvue (NYSE:KVUE) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Kenvue is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = US$2.9b ÷ (US$26b - US$5.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Kenvue has an ROCE of 15%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 13% generated by the Personal Products industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Kenvue
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kenvue compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Kenvue .
Over the past three years, Kenvue's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Kenvue doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. That being the case, it makes sense that Kenvue has been paying out 68% of its earnings to its shareholders. If the company is in fact lacking growth opportunities, that's one of the viable alternatives for the money.
In summary, Kenvue isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 22% over the last year, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Kenvue we've found 4 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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