路透北京3月5日 - 高盛最新发布的报告称,中国政府工作报告公布的2025年GDP增长率、通胀目标和财政赤字率与市场预期大致相符,但中央和地方政府专项债券发行额度在一定程度上低于预期;这意味着今年政府对银行资本重组和消费品以旧换新计划的资金安排或不及预期。
高盛报告还指出,在政府工作报告中,政策制定者为促进消费、推动高科技制造业发展(包括人工智能)和稳定房地产行业提供了政策方向,但缺乏具体措施。
“预计政府将在未来几个月加快债券发行和支出,但需要注意的是,已公布的财政方案可能没有完全考虑美国对中国商品加征20%关税,”报告称。
报告并认为,鉴于“5%左右”的雄心勃勃的增长目标以及财政部此前承诺的“分批推出增量储备政策措施”,如果经济增长阻力加大,今年晚些时候可能会有额外的预算资金安排。
中国2025年经济增速目标一如预期设定在“5%左右”,居民消费价格涨幅目标“2%左右”;目标城镇新增就业1,200万人以上、城镇调查失业率5.5%左右。(完)
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(发稿 韩笑; 审校 杨淑祯)
((Xiao.Han@thomsonreuters.com; 86-10-56692098;))
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