星展:维持建设银行“买入”评级 上调目标价至8.8港元

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  星展发布研报称,维持建设银行(00939)“买入”评级,目标价由7港元上调至8.8港元。该行预测,建行去年盈利将同比持平符预期,对比国家金融监管总局报告去年大型商业银行盈利同比跌0.5%。该行指建行去年首三季交出11%股本回报率,为四大国有银行中最高,料全年保持相若水平。

  该行基于上调对中国利率预测,一年期贷款市场报价利率预测由减少50点子调整至减少30点子,上调对建行今明两年净息差假设2点子,预期今年净息差呈中单位数下降,反映贷款及存款再定价,并因而上调今明两年盈利预测1%。该行又指,投资者主要忧虑建行高于同业的中国房地产业风险敞口,但中国财政刺激政策将支持楼市,预期物业价格逐步回稳,有利建行股价。

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